Description

This analysis provides a forecast of NEAR prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-04-20 1.372386 1.583898 1.816666 2.091771 2.408006 2.760133 3.182013
2025-04-27 1.117575 1.403621 1.745173 2.182858 2.728804 3.387412 4.242631
2025-05-04 0.920853 1.245016 1.660570 2.231899 2.996905 3.986086 5.363241
2025-05-11 0.764392 1.103858 1.567508 2.246247 3.214292 4.545629 6.517455
2025-05-18 0.623850 0.956319 1.437226 2.182339 3.307382 4.943087 7.504603
2025-05-25 0.505028 0.817589 1.294012 2.071414 3.307781 5.198597 8.313586
2025-06-01 0.434166 0.738951 1.226367 2.060344 3.451218 5.678914 9.522749
2025-06-08 0.371325 0.662141 1.148448 2.018036 3.533687 6.067493 10.631122
2025-06-15 0.345860 0.643892 1.163256 2.130557 3.886529 6.940309 12.662134
2025-06-22 0.312831 0.606645 1.139023 2.169469 4.113320 7.622074 14.445865
2025-06-29 0.276872 0.558165 1.087118 2.149091 4.226847 8.112164 15.939988
2025-07-06 0.236424 0.494736 0.998082 2.044760 4.165478 8.267603 16.816534
2025-07-13 0.218746 0.475314 0.993553 2.110054 4.453395 9.143212 19.255324
2025-07-20 0.206625 0.465639 1.007310 2.214926 4.837223 10.260622 22.344617
2025-07-27 0.191329 0.446735 0.999215 2.272601 5.130628 11.233074 25.269942
2025-08-03 0.174660 0.422111 0.975235 2.291950 5.343472 12.063503 28.005038
2025-08-10 0.154133 0.385274 0.918774 2.229496 5.363678 12.476927 29.866428
2025-08-17 0.133163 0.343971 0.845966 2.117746 5.252756 12.579292 31.021032
2025-08-24 0.121028 0.322600 0.817141 2.107344 5.381504 13.249984 33.615285
2025-08-31 0.108524 0.298293 0.777651 2.064612 5.424470 13.721922 35.788766
2025-09-07 0.105394 0.298225 0.798915 2.180032 5.883471 15.267429 40.870975
2025-09-14 0.098818 0.287754 0.791855 2.220038 6.152098 16.370879 44.964570
2025-09-21 0.090231 0.270299 0.763804 2.199309 6.255691 17.063850 48.067519